
- Position
- Wide Receiver
- Height / Weight
- 6' 1", 195 lbs
- Born
- 16/6/1999 in Saint Rose, LA
- Age
- 27
- College
- LSU
- Draft
- 2020: Rd 1, Pk 22 (MIN)
- Experience
- 7th Season
- Status
- Active
Why he's performing this way
The usage, efficiency, schedule and team factors behind his recent numbers.
Justin Jefferson has cooled off. He's at 5.2 fantasy pts / game (PPR) over his last game, down from 18.9.
- Recent
- 5.2
- Season
- 14.3
fantasy pts / game (PPR)
- Shrinking role
He's averaging 2.0 targets over his last game, compared with 7.5 before that. Fewer chances cap his ceiling no matter how efficient he is.
- Focal point of the passing game
He draws 25% of MIN's targets. Target shares this high are sticky and give him a steady floor every week.
- Efficient with his chances
10.5 yards per target on the season (the typical WR is at 8.4), and 16.0 over his last game. He is turning volume into yards better than most at his position.
- Tough recent schedule
Opponents in his last game (TB) give up less EPA per play than the league average. He has been producing against strong opponents, so the numbers are probably underselling him.
- Struggling offense around him
MIN are averaging -0.17 EPA per play on offense. Stalled drives and fewer red-zone trips limit what he can produce.
Play style & archetype
Compares 2026 play-by-play and box score data against 54 qualified WRs across 3 games.
Archetype
Big-slot / middle-of-field weapon
with red-zone specialist traits
Works the seams and the middle of the field, where he beats zone coverage and gains yards after the catch.
EPA / target of 1.32 ranks in the top 4% of qualified WRs.
Catch rate of 76.5% ranks in the top 10% of qualified WRs.
He does a lot of his work between the numbers (middle-of-field rate 29.4%, top 15% of WRs).
Yards / target of 10.5 ranks in the top 19% of qualified WRs.
He also shows traits of a red-zone specialist.
7 NFL seasons and 8,659 career receiving yards. Best year: 1,809 in 2022.
Strengths
- EPA / target (1.32)
- Catch rate (76.5%)
- Yards / target (10.5)
Areas to watch
Nothing stands out.
Percentile vs. WRs
- Targets / gamestyle5.7 · 26
- Target sharestyle20.2% · 55
- Deep target ratestyle35.3% · 73
- Middle-of-field ratestyle29.4% · 85
- Catch rate76.5% · 90
- Yards / reception13.8 · 62
- Yards / target10.5 · 81
- Red-zone target ratestyle17.6% · 69
- EPA / target1.32 · 96
Colored bars are quality measures. Gray "style" bars show how often he does something, not whether it's good.
Where he's targeted
29%
left
29%
middle
41%
right
35% of targets deep (15+ air yards), 65% short
Career statistics
Regular season, by year and team. Career bests are highlighted.
Passing
Rushing
Receiving
Defense
Scoring
2026 game log
Box score lines from completed games this season.