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WR · #17

Jaylen Waddle

Denver Broncos
Position
Wide Receiver
Height / Weight
5' 10", 185 lbs
Born
25/11/1998 in Houston, TX
Age
27
College
Alabama
Draft
2021: Rd 1, Pk 6 (MIA)
Experience
6th Season
Status
Active

Why he's performing this way

The usage, efficiency, schedule and team factors behind his recent numbers.

Trending down

Jaylen Waddle has cooled off. He's at 4.4 fantasy pts / game (PPR) over his last game, down from 11.5.

Recent
4.4
Season
9.1

fantasy pts / game (PPR)

  • Stable workload

    His usage has held around 7.0 targets per game, so the swings come from what he does with the ball, not how often he gets it.

  • Reliable secondary option

    He draws 23% of DEN's targets. That is enough for a solid floor, but big weeks depend on game script.

  • Inefficient touches

    7.5 yards per target on the season (the typical WR is at 8.4), and 1.4 over his last game. Production is being propped up by volume more than explosiveness.

  • Scoring without touchdowns

    0% of his fantasy points come from touchdowns. His yardage is doing the work, so there is upside if the touchdowns start coming.

  • Tough recent schedule

    Opponents in his last game (LAR) give up less EPA per play than the league average. He has been producing against strong opponents, so the numbers are probably underselling him.

  • Struggling offense around him

    DEN are averaging -0.09 EPA per play on offense. Stalled drives and fewer red-zone trips limit what he can produce.

Play style & archetype

Compares 2026 play-by-play and box score data against 54 qualified WRs across 3 games.

Archetype

Alpha X receiver

with complementary role receiver traits

The focal point of the passing game who earns targets at every level of the field.

EPA / target of -0.52 ranks in the bottom 11% of qualified WRs.

He is rarely used in the red zone (red-zone target rate 5.0%, bottom 16% of WRs).

He works mostly outside the numbers (middle-of-field rate 10.0%, bottom 17% of WRs).

Catch rate of 55.0% ranks in the bottom 25% of qualified WRs.

He also shows traits of a complementary role receiver.

6 NFL seasons and 5,189 career receiving yards. Best year: 1,356 in 2022.

Strengths

Nothing stands out.

Areas to watch

  • EPA / target (-0.52)
  • Catch rate (55.0%)

Percentile vs. WRs

  • Targets / gamestyle6.7 · 46
  • Target sharestyle20.2% · 53
  • Deep target ratestyle20.0% · 26
  • Middle-of-field ratestyle10.0% · 17
  • Catch rate55.0% · 25
  • Yards / reception13.6 · 58
  • Yards / target7.5 · 49
  • Red-zone target ratestyle5.0% · 16
  • EPA / target-0.52 · 11

Colored bars are quality measures. Gray "style" bars show how often he does something, not whether it's good.

Where he's targeted

40%

left

10%

middle

50%

right

20% of targets deep (15+ air yards), 80% short

Career statistics

Regular season, by year and team. Career bests are highlighted.

Passing

SeasonTeamGPCMPATTCMP%YDSAVGTDINTLNGSACKRTGQBR
2021MIA16000.000.0000039.6-
2022MIA17000.000.0000039.6-
2023MIA14000.000.0000039.6-
2024MIA15000.000.0000039.6-
2025MIA1611100.088.00080100.00.1
2026DEN3000.000.0000039.6-
Career8111100.088.00080100.0-

Rushing

SeasonTeamGPCARYDSAVGTDLNGFDFUMLST
2021MIA16231.512100
2022MIA173268.709000
2023MIA143124.0012100
2024MIA154123.006100
2025MIA1622814.0021100
2026DEN311414.0014100
Career8115956.3121500

Receiving

SeasonTeamGPRECTGTSYDSAVGTDLNGFDFUMLST
2021MIA161041401,0159.86575910
2022MIA17751171,35618.18846011
2023MIA14721041,01414.14604700
2024MIA15588374412.82633800
2025MIA166410091014.26464810
2026DEN3112015013.6049700
Career813845645,18913.5268425931

Defense

SeasonTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDSINTYDSAVGTDLNGPDSTFSTFYDSKB
2021MIA164400000000.0000000
2022MIA171100000000.0000000
2023MIA143300000000.0000000
2024MIA152110000000.0000000
2025MIA165410000000.0000000
Career81151320000000.0000000

Returning

SeasonTeamGPATTYDSTDFCLNGATTYDSTDKRFCLNG
2021MIA16535031591580025
2022MIA170001000000
Career81535041591580025

Scoring

SeasonTeamGPPASSRUSHRECRETTD2PTPATFGPTS
2021MIA160160700042
2022MIA170080800048
2023MIA140040400024
2024MIA150020220016
2025MIA160060600036
2026DEN3000001002
Career810126027300168

2026 game log

Box score lines from completed games this season.

WkOppC/AttPass YdsPass TDINTCarRush YdsRush TDTgtRecRec YdsRec TDPPR
1@ KC———————31201.2
2vs JAX———————108138021.8
3vs LAR————1140721004.4