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WR · #7

Brian Thomas Jr.

Jacksonville Jaguars
Position
Wide Receiver
Height / Weight
6' 2", 209 lbs
Born
8/10/2002 in Walker, LA
Age
23
College
LSU
Draft
2024: Rd 1, Pk 23 (JAX)
Experience
3rd Season
Status
Active

Why he's performing this way

The usage, efficiency, schedule and team factors behind his recent numbers.

Trending down

Brian Thomas Jr. has cooled off. He's at 1.8 fantasy pts / game (PPR) over his last game, down from 7.0.

Recent
1.8
Season
5.3

fantasy pts / game (PPR)

  • Shrinking role

    He's averaging 1.0 targets over his last game, compared with 6.0 before that. Fewer chances cap his ceiling no matter how efficient he is.

  • Reliable secondary option

    He draws 17% of JAX's targets. That is enough for a solid floor, but big weeks depend on game script.

  • Inefficient touches

    6.8 yards per target on the season (the typical WR is at 8.4), and 8.0 over his last game. Production is being propped up by volume more than explosiveness.

  • Scoring without touchdowns

    0% of his fantasy points come from touchdowns. His yardage is doing the work, so there is upside if the touchdowns start coming.

  • Tough recent schedule

    Opponents in his last game (NE) give up less EPA per play than the league average. He has been producing against strong opponents, so the numbers are probably underselling him.

  • Strong supporting cast

    JAX are averaging +0.23 EPA per play on offense. An efficient offense sustains drives and creates more scoring chances.

Play style & archetype

Compares 2026 play-by-play and box score data against 54 qualified WRs across 3 games.

Archetype

Complementary role receiver

A secondary option who fits into the concept without commanding volume.

He sees light target volume (targets / game 4.3, bottom 1% of WRs).

He is rarely used in the red zone (red-zone target rate 0.0%, bottom 2% of WRs).

He is not a volume focal point (target share 14.6%, bottom 6% of WRs).

EPA / target of -0.63 ranks in the bottom 9% of qualified WRs.

3 NFL seasons and 2,077 career receiving yards. Best year: 1,282 in 2024.

Strengths

Nothing stands out.

Areas to watch

  • EPA / target (-0.63)
  • Catch rate (53.8%)

Percentile vs. WRs

  • Targets / gamestyle4.3 · 0
  • Target sharestyle14.6% · 6
  • Deep target ratestyle25.0% · 42
  • Middle-of-field ratestyle8.3% · 15
  • Catch rate53.8% · 25
  • Yards / reception12.6 · 49
  • Yards / target6.8 · 38
  • Red-zone target ratestyle0.0% · 2
  • EPA / target-0.63 · 9

Colored bars are quality measures. Gray "style" bars show how often he does something, not whether it's good.

Where he's targeted

33%

left

8%

middle

58%

right

25% of targets deep (15+ air yards), 75% short

Career statistics

Regular season, by year and team. Career bests are highlighted.

Rushing

SeasonTeamGPCARYDSAVGTDLNGFDFUMLST
2024JAX176488.0018300
2025JAX143217.019200
Career349697.7118500

Receiving

SeasonTeamGPRECTGTSYDSAVGTDLNGFDFUMLST
2024JAX17871331,28214.710855300
2025JAX14489170714.72463300
2026JAX37128812.6022610
Career341422362,07714.612859210

Defense

SeasonTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDSINTYDSAVGTDLNGPDSTFSTFYDSKB
2024JAX171100000000.0000000
2025JAX141100000000.0000000
Career342200000000.0000000

Scoring

SeasonTeamGPPASSRUSHRECRETTD2PTPATFGPTS
2024JAX17001001020064
2025JAX140120300018
Career34011201320082

2026 game log

Box score lines from completed games this season.

WkOppC/AttPass YdsPass TDINTCarRush YdsRush TDTgtRecRec YdsRec TDPPR
1vs CLE———————334007.0
2@ DEN———————934007.0
3vs NE———————11801.8