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WR · #4

Tetairoa McMillan

Carolina Panthers
Position
Wide Receiver
Height / Weight
6' 5", 212 lbs
Born
5/4/2003 in Waimanalo, HI
Age
23
College
Arizona
Draft
2025: Rd 1, Pk 8 (CAR)
Experience
2nd Season
Status
Active

Why he's performing this way

The usage, efficiency, schedule and team factors behind his recent numbers.

Trending down

Tetairoa McMillan has cooled off. He's at 3.7 fantasy pts / game (PPR) over his last game, down from 12.8.

Recent
3.7
Season
9.8

fantasy pts / game (PPR)

  • Shrinking role

    He's averaging 5.0 targets over his last game, compared with 9.0 before that. Fewer chances cap his ceiling no matter how efficient he is.

  • Reliable secondary option

    He draws 21% of CAR's targets. That is enough for a solid floor, but big weeks depend on game script.

  • League-average efficiency

    8.4 yards per target on the season (the typical WR is at 8.4), and 3.4 over his last game.

  • Scoring without touchdowns

    0% of his fantasy points come from touchdowns. His yardage is doing the work, so there is upside if the touchdowns start coming.

  • Soft recent schedule

    Opponents in his last game (CLE) give up more EPA per play than the league average. Some of the recent production comes from the matchups.

  • Struggling offense around him

    CAR are averaging -0.12 EPA per play on offense. Stalled drives and fewer red-zone trips limit what he can produce.

Play style & archetype

Compares 2026 play-by-play and box score data against 54 qualified WRs across 3 games.

Archetype

Red-zone specialist

Used as a primary option in tight spaces near the goal line.

He works mostly outside the numbers (middle-of-field rate 9.1%, bottom 15% of WRs).

He gets looks near the goal line (red-zone target rate 22.7%, top 15% of WRs).

Yards / reception of 16.1 ranks in the top 17% of qualified WRs.

EPA / target of -0.45 ranks in the bottom 17% of qualified WRs.

2 NFL seasons and 1,207 career receiving yards. Best year: 1,014 in 2025.

Strengths

  • Yards / reception (16.1)

Areas to watch

  • EPA / target (-0.45)
  • Catch rate (52.2%)

Percentile vs. WRs

  • Targets / gamestyle7.7 · 66
  • Target sharestyle17.8% · 37
  • Deep target ratestyle27.3% · 49
  • Middle-of-field ratestyle9.1% · 15
  • Catch rate52.2% · 21
  • Yards / reception16.1 · 83
  • Yards / target8.4 · 58
  • Red-zone target ratestyle22.7% · 85
  • EPA / target-0.45 · 17

Colored bars are quality measures. Gray "style" bars show how often he does something, not whether it's good.

Where he's targeted

55%

left

9%

middle

36%

right

27% of targets deep (15+ air yards), 73% short

Career statistics

Regular season, by year and team. Career bests are highlighted.

Receiving

SeasonTeamGPRECTGTSYDSAVGTDLNGFDFUMLST
2025CAR17701221,01414.57435511
2026CAR3122319316.1028911
Career20821451,20714.77436422

Defense

SeasonTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDSINTYDSAVGTDLNGPDSTFSTFYDSKB
2025CAR173300000000.0000000
Career203300000000.0000000

Scoring

SeasonTeamGPPASSRUSHRECRETTD2PTPATFGPTS
2025CAR170070700042
Career200070700042

2026 game log

Box score lines from completed games this season.

WkOppC/AttPass YdsPass TDINTCarRush YdsRush TDTgtRecRec YdsRec TDPPR
1vs CHI———————8575010.5
2@ ATL———————105101015.1
3@ CLE———————521703.7